Green Bay Packers

  1. NFL reacts to Aaron Rodgers' comeback win vs. Bears

  2. NFL Week 1 top scoring offense rankings

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By247Sports Staff
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every single snap of each NFL game 10,000 to come up with some of the most accurate projections available. In a straight-up, pick'em format, this proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and 2017. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000. 

Now it has simulated every snap of Week 1 of the 2018 NFL season, taking into account factors such as injuries, matchups and player history, and the results are in. 

Connected Women's Trim Skechers Hot Blue Get Graceful Sneaker Pink Navy Among the more notable games, the computer loves the New England Patriots to win and cover the 6.5-point spread at home against the Houston Texans in a 29-20 final. The 49 combined points falls short of the Vegas Over-Under of 51 in 57 percent of simulations. 

Deshaun Watson puts up strong numbers in his return from a torn ACL, throwing for 302 yards, running for 39 yards and accounting for two total touchdowns. But Tom Brady spreads the ball around to Rob Gronkowski (72 yards), Chris Hogan (56) and Phillip Dorsett (40) and leads the Patriots to the win.

It’s also calling big debut for Kirk Cousins in Minnesota, saying the Vikings win straight-up against San Francisco in 63 percent of simulations and cover the 5.5-point spread as Cousins passes for almost 250 yards and two touchdowns. 

And Jon Gruden gets off to a slow start in Oakland, falling 29-21 to the Rams as Todd Gurley goes for almost 150 yards of total offense in a victory for Los Angeles that easily covers the three-point spread.

Simulations run every 15 minutes and always take the latest injury and roster moves into account. 

Here are the projected scores for every Week 1 NFL game as of 8/30:

Thursday, September 6: 

Eagles 27, Falcons 19 -- Eagles are winning 68% of simulations 

Sunday, September 9:

Steelers 26, Browns 17 -- Steelers are winning 70% of simulations

Vikings 27, 49ers 20 -- Vikings are winning 63% of simulations

Ravens 25, Bills 15 -- Ravens are winning 72% of simulations 

Jaguars 23, Giants 18 -- Jaguars are winning 65% of simulations

Saints 30, Bucs 19 -- Saints are winning 79% of simulations

Patriots 29, Texans 20 -- Patriots are winning 71% of simulations

Colts 24, Bengals 20 -- Colts are winning 61% of simulations

Titans 21, Dolphins 20 -- Titans are winning 52% of simulations

Chargers 24, Chiefs 22 -- Chargers are winning 54% of simulations

Seahawks 21, Broncos 20 -- Seahawks are winning 51% of simulations

Panthers 23, Cowboys 21 -- Panthers are winning 56% of simulations 

Cardinals 23, Redskins 19 -- Cardinals are winning 61% of simulations 

Packers 27, Bears 18 -- Packers are winning 71% of simulations 

Monday, September 10:

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Lions 27, Jets 17 -- Lions are winning 72% of simulations 

Rams 28, Raiders 22 -- Rams are winning 67% of simulations

Want to see who wins every NFL game? Join SportsLine now for unlimited access to all of their computer projections and picks from Vegas insiders, plus get daily and season-long Fantasy advice. Use promo code VEGAS to get your first month for just $1!

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(Photo: USA TODAY Sports)


Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers’ injured left knee was deemed healthy enough to return for the second half of Sunday night’s dramatic victory over the Chicago Bears.

“Any time a player’s injury, particularly when they bring him inside, based on the injury there’s a protocol of what they go through to see if the doctor will clear them to go back out,” coach Mike McCarthy said on Monday afternoon. “That process went on throughout the second quarter (and) into halftime. Frankly, at halftime we were preparing as an offensive staff to play with DeShone (Kizer) and then shortly before we got out to the field, as we were walking to the tunnel, I had a chance to talk to Aaron and Dr. McKenzie and he was cleared to go.”

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Rodgers did more than return. He put on a quarterbacking clinic in leading the Packers to a 24-23 victory. Green Bay trailed 20-0 when Rodgers returned for the second half, making this the second-biggest home comeback in franchise history. Green Bay trailed 20-3 after the third quarter, making this the largest fourth-quarter comeback in the 100-year history of the team.

Nonetheless, McCarthy wouldn’t say whether Rodgers would be cleared to play in Sunday’s showdown against Minnesota.

“We’re still collecting all the information (about) his specific situation,” McCarthy said. “And I know Aaron wants to play and is always driven to play, but that’s all I have for right now.”

Rodgers was injured with about 9 minutes to go in the in the first half by Chicago defensive end Roy Robertson-Harris, whose 294 pounds fell on Rodgers with the quarterback already on the ground. Rodgers walked off the field, was examined in the medical tent on the sideline for several minutes and carted to the locker room.

As the team returned to the field for the third quarter, Rodgers jogged onto the field and began warming up. As Chicago tacked on a field goal to extend its lead to 20-0, Rodgers grabbed his helmet.

“I don’t think anybody’s feeling great right now,” McCarthy said. “But, yeah, he’s sore. He’s walking around in a pair of shorts and tennis shoes and socks if that helps you with your story. I don’t know what else to tell you.”

During an on-the-field interview after the game, Rodgers unequivocally stated he would be ready to face the Vikings. In his postgame news conference, however, Rodgers wasn’t quite as optimistic.

“We just finished up,” Rodgers said. “We haven’t had lengthy conversations yet about it, but we’ll do some tests tomorrow. I felt like once I got back out there, when the adrenaline was going, it loosened up a little bit. But then it tightened up there in the fourth quarter. I was walking up and down the sideline trying to keep it loose. We’ll do tests tomorrow and you’ll get a better answer Wednesday when I talk. As long as there are no major issues, then I’ll keep playing.”

The injury, which sapped Rodgers of his customary mobility, impacted the game plan and Rodgers’ performance.

“I had my call sheet in the meeting this morning,” McCarthy said. “I don’t think I’ve ever seen one like that where you had your first 15 calls in the game and I think we got five of them called. We had a package of offense that was an 18-play package; two of those calls.”

That mobility obviously will be an issue against the rival Vikings on Sunday. Minnesota led the NFL in scoring defense last season and intercepted San Francisco’s Jimmy Garoppolo in a Week 1 victory.


The opponent won’t impact the decision on Rodgers for this week, just like the deficit didn’t impact the decision on Rodgers on Sunday night. Had Chicago driven to a touchdown to open the second half, would that 24-0 deficit have led McCarthy to end Rodgers’ night?

“Probably not,” McCarthy said. “I mean, 20 (points) or 24 (points), in my opinion, what’s the difference? Lot of time left.”

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